Oil Limits and Climate Change – How They Fit Together

Interesting take on drivers I had not considered as being part of the climate change debate but of course this is a truly global problem and the global economy is a massive driver of human behavior, in retrospect it makes a lot of sense. You can’t fight physics… Unless you have unlimited energy and as this article points out, we don’t.

Our Finite World

We hear a lot about climate change, especially now that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has recently published another report. At the same time, oil is reaching limits, and this has an effect as well. How do the two issues fit together?

In simplest terms, what the situation means to me is that the “low scenario,” which the IPCC calls “RCP2.6,” is closest to what we can expect in terms of man-made carbon emissions. Thus, the most reasonable scenario, based on their modeling, would seem to be the purple bar that continues to rise for the next twenty years or so and then is close to horizontal.

Figure 1. Summary Climate Change Exhibit from new  IPCC Report. Figure 1. Summary global average surface temperature change exhibit from new IPCC Report.

I come to this conclusion by looking at the tables of anthropogenic carbon emission shown in Annex II of the report. According to IPCC data, the…

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